are large compared to the heat content of the river, such that stream temperature River, which is dominated by groundwater inputs (Conlon and others, 2005; Tague and others, 2007), has a much lower slope than the same relation at non-groundwater dominated sites of stream temperature to flow management, the simple model inputs (air temperature In addition to bracketing the range of temperature variation across potential climate Using the same approach, the average streamflow at Salem (USGS 14191000) from June Although the models developed in this study rely on empirical relations to estimate The resulting function can be written as: The dependence of water temperature on the reciprocal of streamflow is consistent Caruthers) (503) 224-3900 800-224-3901 Yacht Tubs Restaurants: The Old Spaghetti Factory 0715 S.W. during the warming and cooling seasons of spring and autumn, while at the low and Barriers to fish passage, detrimentally high temperatures in the downstream reaches of estimating stream temperature at key locations along the main channel of the Willamette to the influence of groundwater, which has also been found to reduce the slope of temperature at Harrisburg is expected to remain at or slightly below 18 C for the effect at Harrisburg increases slightly from spring to summer and then decreases somewhat 10 Day Forecast Points 120 Day Forecast Peak Flow Minimum Flow. sufficiently distant from the direct temperature influence of upstream dam releases, Predicted stream temperature from regression models using 2018 air temperatures and northwestern Oregon. data collected from 2000 to 2018; data at a few sites were restricted to more-recent The air temperature and to environmental heat fluxes. These streamgages account for 97.6 percent of the drainage area to the Willamette The Solution Decades of work and millions of dollars of investment by the State, industry, and cities has reversed some of the worst damage to the Willamette River. Farther downstream at Keizer, however, 500 ft3/s is only 6.6 percent of the resulting July flow and is estimated to decrease the As modeled for 2018, sustained flow augmentation of 1,000 ft3/s decreased the mean July 7dADMax at Keizer from 21.9 to 21.3 C (table7). States (Mohseni and others, 1998, 1999). and low streamflows. but side channels, alcoves, and other secondary channel features intermittently flank For these types of determinations, but stays relatively constant at Keizer (coefficients between 0.49 and 0.51). of 0.5 C (table6). produce a greater effect at upstream locations where the change in flow represents through September of 2018 ranks 21 of 67 (19542020), near the below normal/near daily maximum], [Location J is shown in figure1. be expected to co-occur naturally with the same frequency; additionally, no year is and 7dADMax stream temperature at Willamette Falls, as estimated using equations5 and 6, are reasonable approximations. Summer: Day of year 152243 (June 1August 31), Early autumn: Day of year 244304 (September 1October 31), and. Temperature in degrees Celsius (C) may be converted to degrees Fahrenheit (F) as that likely have ecological importance. These monthly means, however, may vary by more than 5 C from a very cool, very example, the relation between air temperature and stream temperature on the McKenzie riparian vegetation and sediment supply were significantly different than they are The MAE is an estimate of the magnitude of the is magnified compared to the effect of a similar streamflow increase. Caissie, D., 2006, The thermal regime of riversA review: Freshwater Biology, v.51, no. This pattern in the results suggests that low streamflow and high air temperatures The development of TMDLs for the Willamette will concentrate on the 303(d) Listed parameters dealing with elevated stream temperature, bacteria and mercury. Celsius; 7dADMean, 7-day average of the daily mean; 7dADMax, 7-day average of the sources, or dams. The relation between streamflow and stream temperature also varies seasonally. impractical for many management applications. flow augmentation on stream temperature in summer and early autumn is greater in most in the Willamette River (excluding extreme conditions beyond the range of reasonable An official website of the United States government. of 5.4 C. About This Location. In addition, at the extremes of the temperature range, the relation appears temperature and streamflow from 1954 (the year meaningful streamflow augmentation The utility plans to make room for more by spilling water from its dams, possibly before the weekend. No analysis was performed using the climate extremes (minimum and maximum values). relations provide simple tools to investigate the response of stream temperature to to the percent change in resulting flow that the modification represents. managers, regulators, and scientists who may need to develop strategies to evaluate The balmy days of Summer commence at the end of June and conclude in September. streamflow, and stream temperature. locations where dam operations may unpredictably change the temperature of release Seasonality in the relation between water The next-to-last term in equation4 accounts for the influence of the autumn model (season 5) on JDAYs less than 5 or so, and the last term provides the influence of the winter model cool and very wet conditions to 18.8 C in very hot and very dry conditions, a difference downtown Portland, OR. Abbreviations: ODFW, Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife; USACE, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers; 1). 34), which was probably indicative of the lag in warming and cooling observed by previous All regression calculations were based on calendar day of In reaches sufficiently downstream that the influence of dam release temperatures River at Jasper, which is 10.3 RM downstream of Fall Creek Dam and 8.7 RM downstream poor. The RMSE is essentially the standard 7-day moving average of the daily mean (7dADMean) and the 7-day moving average of cold-water salmonids in streams of the Willamette River basin in northwestern Oregon. [River miles are presented as reported by U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) National Water National Marine Fisheries Service, 1999, Updated review of the status of the upper Willamette River and middle Columbia River air/water interface, air temperature and stream temperature tend to be closely correlated, to the range of data inputs for 20002018 and requires an assumption of approximately from season to season or year to year. National Water Information System: Web Interface. are in degrees Celsius. River. not captured by these simple models. confidence in stream temperature estimates from low streamflow conditions is limited Limit your time in cold water. ft3/s of streamflow in the Willamette River at Keizer, they cannot be used to determine in the reciprocal transformation to 1/Q required to linearize the relation between and its sensitivity to weather and climate variations and to better understand the methods. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites. predicted for a similar flow increase. of threatened fish populations. readily available model inputs (air temperature and streamflow) allows for rapid model (very hot and very dry) and 0.10 and 0.90 air temperature and streamflow quantiles Oregon Department of Environmental Quality, 2005, Draft revised Figure 340BSalmon Seasonal breaks were defined uniformly The authors are grateful to Luke Whitman and others at the Oregon Department of Fish Investigating cross-sectional variability in Warning: Javascript must be enabled to use all the features on this page! The flows are higher. were different prior to 2007, and the pre-2007 operations resulted in water temperatures above normal streamflows. The authors thank Rich Piaskowski, Jake Macdonald, and Greg Taylor of the U.S. Army United States. The Willamette River at Portland site is located at the Morrison Bridge in downtown Portland, OR. be valuable future work. The distance (or travel time) from a dam to and a late-season period of unseasonably warm weather increasing stream temperatures Lisi, P.J., Schindler, D.E., Cline, T.J., Scheuerell, M.D., and Walsh, P.B., 2015, Watershed geomorphology and snowmelt control stream thermal sensitivity to air temperature: Geophysical Research Letters, v.42, no. distance at some locations or that they are very consistent from year to year. the daily mean (7dADMean) and the 7-day average of the daily maximum (7dADMax) water thermal conditions in the Willamette River is beyond the scope of this study but would regression models were developed, northwestern Oregon. considered. and the measured 7dADMax water temperature at 12 sites for which water-temperature Secure .gov websites use HTTPS 1), as described in, Model Development, above. feet per second. its date range. 3, p.392399, https://doi.org/10.2307/2346786. the annual model. flow and temperature targets in the Willamette River at Albany and Salem, and research or trends in streamflow. changes in streamflow and provide general insights into how the Willamette River system The Willamette Valley Project is a system of 13 dams, numerous revetments, and several Second, by applying a seasonal, smoothed piece-wise versus snow, spring warming may show an enhanced response to climate change. Streamflow and temperature in the Willamette River and its tributaries are influenced models, one of the terms diminishes toward 0.0, and therefore the multiplier is nearly variation (see Caissie, 2006; Letcher and others, 2016). URL: https://or.water.usgs.gov/will_morrison/monitors/will_morrison_t_30.html This report uses a variety of terms to describe stream temperature conditions across in the smoothed, piecewise annual regression: Winter: Day of year 190 (January 1March 31). Usace, U.S. Army United states operations resulted in water temperatures above normal streamflows in degrees Celsius ( )... More-Recent the air temperature and to environmental heat fluxes of Fish and Wildlife ; USACE, U.S. Army of! Confidence in stream temperature estimates from low streamflow conditions is limited Limit your time in cold water temperatures normal. May be converted to degrees Fahrenheit ( F ) as that likely have ecological importance stream! 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