As at 1 April 2021, the Trained and Untrained Strength of the UK Regular Forces (which excludes Gurkhas) was 149,280. The total intake rates for each Service in the 12 months to 1 April 2021 are as follows: The total outflow rates for each Service in the 12 months to 1 April 2021 are as follows: Figure 11: Intake to and Outflow from the FR20 Reserves over rolling 12-month periods. The FTTS (RN/RM & RAF) and FTTTS (Army) comprises: 132,390 Regular personnel (96.9 per cent), 3,400 Gurkhas (2.5 per cent), and 810 Full-time Reserve Service personnel (0.6 per cent) who are filling Regular posts and count against the Workforce Requirement. The guidelines are measured over a 36 month period and the limits are: Using 1 April 2020 as an example, the formula for the breach rate is as follows: There is a fall in the percentage breaching harmony this quarter for both Army and RAF. Table 5: UK Regular Forces by Service and Training Status. The MOD has consulted on these changes and the resultant impact they will have on this publication and a consultation response was published on 7 October 2016. change of mind) during the process. Telephone: 01494 496822, Email: [email protected] They are just as likely as others to complete their first term and make sergeant, and are less likely to leave the Army for health or performance reasons. The MOD Disclosure Control and Rounding policy is published on GOV.UK and we have applied this policy to the statistics in the accompanying Excel tables. The MOD held a public consultation on SDSR Resilience: Trained strength definition for the Army and resultant changes to Ministry of Defence Armed Forces personnel statistics, between 11 July and 21 January 2017. The MOD Disclosure Control and Rounding policy is published on GOV.UK and we have applied this policy to the statistics in the accompanying Excel tables. Candidate, Pardee RAND Graduate School, Deputy Lead, RAND Space Enterprise Initiative; Assistant Policy Researcher; Ph.D. The strength of trained Other Ranks has increased by 1.0 per cent and the strength of trade trained Other Ranks has decreased by 0.5 per cent respectively, as can be inferred from Table 4 above. Percentages are calculated from unrounded data and presented to one decimal place. Defense There were 171,736 permanently assigned active-duty troops abroad in 2022. These deficits will make it hard for Russia to hold regions in Ukraine that it may soon try to annex. Intake and Outflow statistics report how many people have left or joined the Trained or Untrained Strengths. How can the UK and U.S. armed forces remove barriers to inclusion and attract more diverse workforces? To help us improve GOV.UK, wed like to know more about your visit today. The Maritime Reserve total strength as at 1 April 2021 was 4,080. There has been a revision to the number of Army Volunteer Reserve personnel as at 1 October 2018 due to a processing error. When making corrections, we will follow the Ministry of Defence Statistics Revisions and Corrections Policy. However, the Ministry of Defences recruitment campaign is a long-term programme and numbers continue to grow. For example; a value of 25 would be rounded down to 20 and a value of 15 would be rounded up to 20. Assistant Policy Researcher, RAND, and Ph.D. Time Expiry is a term used to describe those in the Armed Services who reach the end of their engagement or commission and then leave. Over the same period, applications to the Volunteer Reserves have decreased by 19.5 per cent, from 3,026 in the 12 months to 30 September 2020 to 2,436 in the 12 months to 30 September 2021. Where we have identified any third party copyright information you will need to obtain permission from the copyright holders concerned. Trained and Trade Trained direct entrants in the 12 months to 31 December 2021 was 410. In Table 8c there has been a revision to the number of Army Regular Reserve Officers and Other Ranks of which Full Time Reserve Service from 1 April 2012 to 1 January 2013 due to an processing error. As of late June, it had recruited only about 40 percent of the roughly 57,000 new soldiers it wants to put in boots by Sept. 30, the end of the fiscal year. This is an increase of 150 personnel (5.4 per cent) since 1 April 2020. A consultation response was published on 7 November 2016. The trained and trade trained strength is higher than at 1 April 2020 by 4.0 per cent and 4.5 per cent respectively. This is a decrease of 51.8 per cent from the 12 months to 31 December 2020. Designation can be broadly interpreted to mean that the statistics: Once statistics have been designated as National Statistics it is a statutory requirement that the Code of Practice shall continue to be observed. Separated service measures absence from normal place of duty. The time an individual experiences separated service is compared against each Services Individual Harmony guidelines to ensure a balance between duty and leisure for all Service personnel. The Pardee RAND Graduate School (PardeeRAND.edu) is home to the only Ph.D. and M.Phil. So if 100 people apply for a job and you hire 10, your selection ratio is 10:1. Personnel and career management are critical to a well-trained U.S. Army Reserve (USAR). Table 2: FTTS (RN/RM & RAF) and FTTTS (Army). See below for further information. As a result of the changes to Army Trained Strength (referred to above) and their impact on the Army Reserve, the MOD released a Written Ministerial Statement containing revised FR20 strength growth profiles on 8 November 2016. Other contact points within the Ministry of Defence for Statistics are listed below. This Annual Report illustrates the depth, breadth, and responsiveness of the studies that RAND Arroyo Center conducted for the Army in 2021. Well send you a link to a feedback form. The main factors affecting decisions about the size of the Armed Forces required by the MOD to achieve success in its military tasks include: The Service personnel statistics in previous versions of this publication are reported against the 2015 Strategic Defence and Security Review, released in November 2015. Dont include personal or financial information like your National Insurance number or credit card details. The Army Reserve total intake rate was 12.2 per cent; a decrease of 3.1 percentage points since the 12 months to 1 April 2020. 1 Understanding military personnel statistics 5 2 UK Armed Forces 8 3 UK Regular Forces: inflow and outflow 12 4 UK Regular Forces diversity 14 5 Reservists 18 6 Location of personnel 21 . Applications to the RN/RM Regular Forces in the 12 months to 31 December 2020 were 33,058, an increase of 11.9% compared to the 12 months to 31 December 2019 (29,532). Outflow from the Trained and Untrained UK Regular Forces was 14,160 in the 12 months to 31 December 2021; up from 12,700 in the 12 months to 31 December 2020. Telephone: 030 6798 4423, Health Information: To view this licence, visit nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3 or write to the Information Policy Team, The National Archives, Kew, London TW9 4DU, or email: [email protected]. The total strength of the UK Forces has increased between 1 April 2020 and 1 April 2021 by 2.5 per cent (4,900 personnel), as shown in Table 1. A breach of individual harmony guidelines occurs when Service personnel experience separated service for longer than the period outlined in individual harmony guidelines, which are based on the structures and organisation of that Service. A formal response, or responses, to the RF30 Review will follow the RF30 implementation programmes detailed analysis of the recommendations. Separated service data can be found in Table 10 of the accompanying, Excel tables. Further historic statistics will be added in due course; in the meantime, historic statistics can be found in the following archived publications: The glossary contains definitions of terminology used in this publication. Individual Harmony is the freedom to enjoy leisure at the normal place of duty or residence at place of duty; this includes leave and adventurous training. /content/admin/rand-header/jcr:content/par/header/reports, /content/admin/rand-header/jcr:content/par/header/blogPosts, /content/admin/rand-header/jcr:content/par/header/multimedia, /content/admin/rand-header/jcr:content/par/header/caseStudies, How China Understands and Assesses Military Balance, Russian Military Operations in Ukraine in 2022 and the Year Ahead, Consequences of the War in Ukraine: A Bleak Outlook for Russia, RAND President and CEO Presenting to House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence, RAND Experts Discuss the First Year of the Russia-Ukraine War, Helping Coastal Communities Plan for Climate Change, Measuring Wellbeing to Help Communities Thrive, Assessing and Articulating the Wider Benefits of Research, How the Pandemic Affected Military Recruitment and Retention, Army Enlistment Waivers in the Age of Legal Marijuana, Quantifying Potential Cost Avoidance Implications of Outcomes Reported in Behavioral and Social Science Research, Assessment and Selection for U.S. Air Force Special Warfare: Vol. In order to meet the manpower reduction targets set out in SDSR 2010, the Three Month Exercise (3ME) and Army 2020, a redundancy programme coupled with adjusted recruiting (intake) and contract extensions, were set. The authors examined existing modeling tools and developed a detailed plan for combining outputs from the tools to enable USAR to forecast 24-month end strength. Telephone: 023 9262 8738, Email: [email protected] Telephone: 030 6798 4423, Health Information: The Maritime Reserve total Intake rate was 16.5 per cent; a decrease of 3.8 percentage points since the 12 months to 1 January 2021. The Army Trade Trained strength (FTTTS) increased between 1 October 2019 and 1 July 2021 but has seen a decrease between 1 July 2021 and 1 January 2022. Following this, progress against FR20 population Trained Strength targets are reported in Table 6a of the Excel tables. Beth Asch is a senior economist at the RAND Corporation. Time Expiry is a term used to describe those in the Armed Services who reach the end of their engagement or commission and then leave. Drawing upon decades of experience, RAND provides research services, systematic analysis, and innovative thinking to a global clientele that includes government agencies, foundations, and private-sector firms. This report summarizes and develops utility functions for a series of behavioral and social science studies to help senior leaders translate the research results into estimates of cost avoidance or other desired benefits. Jan 18, 2022 Essay Since 1 January 2021, the strength of the Trained and Trade Trained Officers has increased by 0.5 per cent and 0.4 per cent respectively. Compared to the 12 months to 31 December 2020, in the 12 months to 31 December 2021 there is an increase to the Gains to Trained Strength for the, In comparison to the 12 months ending 31 December 2020, Trained Outflow from the. All corrected figures will be identified by the symbol r, and an explanation will be given of the reason for and size of the revision. Applications to the British Army Regular Forces in the 12 months to 30 September 2021 were 85,491, a decrease of 17.7 per cent compared to the 12 months to 30 September 2020 (103,907). Voluntary Outflow (VO) encompasses all Trained (RN/RM & RAF) and Trade Trained (Army) personnel who voluntarily exit before the end of their agreed engagement or commission period. Outflow has increased by 11.5 per cent and intake has decreased by 4.7 per cent, since 31 December 2020. Over the same period, applications to the Volunteer Reserves have decreased by 30.1 per cent, from 32,764 in the 12 months to 30 September 2020 to 22,903 in the 12 months to 30 September 2021. Applications may be refused if no commonwealth headroom is available. For more information, see: For more information, see: The Maritime Reserve total Outflow rate was 19.1 per cent; an increase of 1.3 percentage points since the 12 months to 1 January 2021. Provides military recruitment planners a more comprehensive understanding of how youth build and access their career and educational information networks in high school, as part of their decision-making process. There were 1.3 million active-duty military in 2022, 39% fewer than in 1987 its recent peak. Not achieving the required recruiting test score for the desired branch/trade; Applicants withdraw for their own reasons (e.g. Future Reserves 2020 includes Volunteer Reserves who are mobilised, High Readiness Reserves and those Volunteer Reserves serving on Full-time Reserve Service (FTRS) and Additional Duties Commitment (ADC). The Trained Strength definition for the Royal Navy, RAF, Maritime Reserve and RAF Reserves has not changed, reflecting the requirement for their personnel to complete Phase 2 training to be able to fulfil the core function of their respective Services. This population aligns with the old definition of trained personnel, therefore maintaining the continuity of the statistical time series, and will continue to be counted against the historic workforce requirement. The Service split for this figure can be found in Table 5 below. On 23 November 2015, MOD published the National Security Strategy and Strategic Defence and Security Review 2015. In the 12 months to 31 December 2021, there was a net gain of 1,910 personnel to the UK Regular Forces Trained (RN/RM & RAF) and Trade Trained strength (Army). Some of the statistics previously published in the following publications can now be found in this release: Responsible Statistician: Tri-Service Head of Branch, Further information/mailing list: [email protected], Background Quality Report: Background Quality Report. This has remained relatively stable since 1 April 2020. Telephone: 01264 886021, Email: [email protected] RAND has provided objective evaluations and recommendations that support decisionmakers' efforts to monitor and manage military recruiting, including examinations of demographic groups and communities where recruiting could be more successful. Following the Integrated Review and Spending Review, the previous future workforce requirements for the Armed Forces are no longer applicable. 1, Defining Attributes and Designing Rater Training, Removing Barriers to Diversity and Inclusion in the Military, Diversity Can Enhance Military Effectiveness, Russian Forces in Ukraine: Muddling Through, Forecasting End Strength in the U.S. Army Reserve: An Integrated Modeling Concept, Resources Required to Meet the U.S. Army Reserve's Enlisted Recruiting Requirements Under Alternative Recruiting Goals, Conditions, and Eligibility Policies, End-of-Pilot Assessment of the U.S. Army's Consolidated Recruiting Program, A Snapshot of the Department of the Air Force Total Force Recruiting Integration: Survey Results and Implications, Identifying Opportunities to Recruit More Individuals Above the Age of 21 into the U.S. Army, U.S.-Russia Diplomacy, Citizen Science, America's Blood Supply: RAND Weekly Recap, Establishing Feeder-Designation Relationships with Colleges and Universities to Increase Racial and Ethnic Diversity in Air Force Officer Accessions, Forecasting Religious Affiliation in the United States Army, Afghan Refugees Are Being Recruited to Join an Iranian Paramilitary, Improving the Goal-Setting Process for U.S. Department of the Air Force Recruiters, Youth Information Networks and Propensity to Serve in the Military. The guidelines are measured over a 36 month period and the limits are: Using 1 April 2021 as an example, the formula for the breach rate is as follows: The percentage breaching harmony has remained stable for the RN/RM (0.2 per cent), decreased for the Army (1.0 per cent) and increased for the RAF (0.3 per cent) as at 1 October 2021 compared to the previous quarter 1 July 2021. We are currently undertaking a review of how this information will be presented in the future. Whitehall This is an increase of 100 personnel (0.3 per cent) 1 April 2020. There has been a revision to the number of Royal Air Force Reserve FR20 personnel as at 1 October 2021 due to a processing error. Table 4: Army Officers and Other Ranks by Training Status. We await the outcome of the Integrated Review and Spending Review to determine if there will be any new targets for Full-time AF personnel which would be included in future publications. Mark Perry runs through the numbers on military recruitment: [O]ne in three potential recruits are disqualified from service because they're overweight, one in four cannot meet minimal. Gains to Trained Strength and Trained Outflow This comes as it is revealed that over 100,000 people applied to join the Army since April, an increase of at least 5 per cent over the same period last year and the highest in recent years. The Service split for this figure can be found in Table 5 below. The VO Rate for the RN/RM was 4.2 per cent, for the RAF it was 3.7 per cent and for the Army it was 4.1 per cent. All UK Regular personnel and all Gurkha personnel (which combined at 1 April 2021 comprised 77.1 per cent of UK Service Personnel). They do not include promotion from Ranks to Officers or flows between Services. Well send you a link to a feedback form. The United Kingdom Statistics Authority has designated these statistics as National Statistics, in accordance with the Statistics and Registration Service Act 2007 and signifying compliance with the Code of Practice for Official Statistics. Full-Time Trained Strength (RN/RM & RAF) and Full-Time Trade Trained Strength (Army) includes all UK Regular personnel, Gurkhas and the relevant elements of the Full-Time Reserve Service (FTRS) (see glossary for more detail). Additionally, totals and sub-totals are rounded separately and so may not equal the sums of their rounded parts. The number of interviews you conducted divided by the total number of hires. Additionally, totals and sub-totals are rounded separately and so may not equal the sums of their rounded parts. Following this, the term Trained Strength would include all Army personnel Trained in the core function of their Service (i.e. Gains to Trained Strength (GTS) figures comprise all Regular personnel who complete Phase 2 training and those that enter directly into the Phase 2 Trained strength. Email: [email protected] Military recruiting and retention activities are typically conducted in person, but with COVID-19-related stay-at-home orders and social distancing requirements, the armed services had to quickly adapt their policies and procedures or risk missing their end strength objectives. Figure 12: Percentage of UK Regular Forces breaching harmony (1 April 2014 - 31 December 2020). There are 12,170 untrained personnel in the UK Regular Forces (excluding Gurkhas), of which 4,770 are in the RN/RM, 4,070 in the Army and 3,330 are in the RAF. All corrected figures will be identified by the symbol r, and an explanation will be given of the reason for and size of the revision. The changes outlined in the consultation and response have been incorporated into this publication from the 1 October 2016 edition onwards. Over the same period, applications to the Volunteer Reserves have decreased by 17.6 per cent, from 4,660 in the 12 months to 30 September 2020 to 3,838 in the 12 months to 30 September 2021. Figure 5: GTS and Outflow from the UK Trained Regular Forces 12 month ending across the Armed Forces. It excludes those returning to the Phase 2 trained strength from Long Term Absence (LTA). the applicant declines an offer to join): NOTE: Application numbers cannot be added together across the Services to show total Armed Forces applications due to differences in definitions. The Future Reserves 2020 (FR20) programme aimed to increase the size of the Reserve Forces. The military also employed 743,000 civilians. See below for further information. The analysis also covers changes in military personnel policies made during the COVID-19 pandemic. Figures for the period between the introduction of DRS in November 2017 and 30 June 2018 are not available as they are not of the required validity for publication. The redundancy programme is now complete. As can be seen from Figure 2 above, Army Trained strength (FTTS) saw an increase between 1 April 2019 and 1 October 2021, but decreased between 1 October 2021 and 1 January 2022. The Full-time Trained Strength (FTTS) Royal Navy/Royal Marines and Royal Air Force (RN/RM & RAF) and Full-time Trade Trained Strength (FTTTS) (Army) (which comprises military personnel who have completed both Phase 1 and Phase 2 training) is counted against the Workforce Requirement. The regular Army and Army Guard project small increases through FY 2025; the Army Reserve will stay essentially level. Terminology has also been updated in Excel tables 3c and 4. In Table 3b there have been revisions to the number of Army Officers and Other Ranks of which Full Time Reserve Service House Commitment as at 1 April 2019 and 1 October 2019 due to an inputting error. U.S. military size for 2018 was 1,379,800.00, a 1.53% increase from 2017. to satisfy the requirements of job seeking). A consultation response was published on 7 November 2016. Other contact points within the Ministry of Defence for Statistics are listed below. As well as leavers and new recruits, this can include personnel transferring to or from the Regular Forces, other Reserve populations, or Reserve re-joiners. Further statistics can be found in the Excel tables. The Army Reserve total Outflow rate was 15.3 per cent; an increase of 3.3 percentage points since the 12 months to 1 January 2021. Prior to SDSR 2015, publications reported against the planned Future Force 2020, as set out in the SDSR 2010 which planned to reduce the size of the Armed Forces. The SDSR 2015 Defence Key Facts booklet announced new targets for 2020 for each of the Services. This is higher than the net intake of 890 in the 12 months to 31 March 2020. Across all Services, VO was the most common reason for outflow of Trained (RN/RM & RAF) and Trade-Trained (Army) personnel, accounting for 60.9 per cent of outflow in the 12 months to 31 March 2020 (See Figure 4). Since 1 January 2021, the total strength of the UK Regular Forces, Gurkhas and Other Personnel have all increased, however the strength of the Volunteer Reserves has decreased. https://www.gov.uk/make-a-freedom-of-information-request/the-freedom-of-information-act. RAND researchers examined the potential for recruiting individuals older than 21 and derived actionable recommendations. Voluntary Outflow (VO) encompasses all trained (RN/RM & RAF) and Trade Trained (Army) personnel who voluntarily exit before the end of their agreed engagement or commission period. Quarterly service personnel statistics 1 January 2022 Updated 15 September 2022 This publication provides information on the number of Military Personnel (defined as the strength), joining. Diversity. From the 1 October 2016 edition onwards, Army personnel who have completed Phase 1 training (basic Service training) but not Phase 2 training (trade training), are considered trained personnel. Figures from 12 months ending 30 June 2019 onwards define an application as an online application submitted by an individual and accepted by Defence Recruitment System (DRS). Email: [email protected] This change enabled the Army to meet the SDSR 15 commitment to improve support to UK resilience. Full-time Trained Strength (RN/RM & RAF) and Full-time Trade Trained Strength (Army) includes all UK Regular personnel, Gurkhas and those elements of the Full-time Reserve Service (FTRS) who are counted against the workforce requirement (see glossary for more detail). Figures relate to the number of applications received and not the number of applicants, as one applicant may submit several applications; For successful applicants who accept an offer to join the Services, there is a substantial processing time between their application being received and the applicant joining the Services. There is a deficit of 4.2 per cent, 5.9 per cent and 6.2 per cent in the (RN/RM), the Army and the (RAF) respectively, as can be seen in Table 2 above. Since 1 April 2020, the total strength of the UK Regular Forces, Gurkhas and Other Personnel have all increased. Sponsored Reserves who provide a more cost effective solution than Volunteer Reserves are also included in the Army Reserve FR20. Changes in technology, the introduction of new equipment and restructuring that leads to equipment becoming obsolete or surplus to requirements. On 29 June 2016, the MOD announced that the Army planned to use Regular and Reserve Phase 1 trained personnel in response to crises within the UK. Telephone: 01264 886021, Email: [email protected] Recruits enter a binding contract of service, which for full-time personnel typically requires a minimum period of service of several years, with the exception of a short discharge window, near the beginning of their service, allowing them to leave the armed force as of right. Minor errors will also be corrected, but for efficient use of resource these corrections may be timed to coincide with the next release of this quarterly publication. Volunteer Reserves voluntarily accept an annual training commitment and are liable to be mobilised to deploy on operations. To succeed, Moscow will have to replenish personnel and equipment at scaletasks that will prove extremely difficult. In the first . Table 5: UK Regular Forces by Service and Training Status. The UK Armed Forces could take a more-strategic approach to leveraging diversity to elevate it as a strategic enabler of military fighting power in the contemporary threat environment. A calendar of upcoming MOD statistical releases can be found on GOV.UK. The number of applications received does not directly relate to intake figures, since: There is a break in the time series between 1 October 2017 and 1 July 2018 due to the change in recruiting systems from the Training Administration and Financial Management Information System (TAFMIS) to DRS and due to the need to ensure consistency of the start date for reintroduced data between the single Services. Detail is provided for both the Full-time Armed Forces (AF) and Reserves. Subscribe to the weekly Policy Currents newsletter to receive updates on the issues that matter most. Potential for recruiting individuals older than 21 and derived actionable recommendations listed.... Size of the Excel tables, since 31 December 2020 you a to! Has increased by 11.5 per cent, since 31 December 2021 was 4,080 regions in Ukraine it! For a job and you hire 10, your selection ratio is 10:1 strength as at 1 October 2018 to! Table 2: FTTS ( RN/RM & RAF ) and Reserves when making corrections, we will follow the implementation! 2018 was 1,379,800.00, a 1.53 % increase from 2017. to satisfy the requirements of job )... Will stay essentially level researchers examined the potential for recruiting individuals older than and. Net intake of 890 in the future Reserves 2020 ( FR20 ) programme aimed to increase size... Derived actionable recommendations Strategy and Strategic Defence and Security Review 2015 is a senior economist at the RAND Corporation programmes. Accept an Annual Training commitment and are liable to be mobilised to deploy on operations from 2017. to satisfy requirements... ; the Army in 2021 and attract more diverse workforces decimal place 20 and a value of would! By Service and Training Status like your National Insurance number or credit card details Annual Training commitment are... Of 890 in the core function of their Service ( i.e the size of Excel... For the desired branch/trade ; Applicants withdraw for their own reasons ( e.g Defence Key Facts booklet announced targets! The Pardee RAND Graduate School, Deputy Lead, RAND Space Enterprise Initiative ; Assistant Policy Researcher ; Ph.D future! Information like your National Insurance number or credit card details your National Insurance number or credit card.! Strength from Long term absence ( LTA ) weekly Policy Currents newsletter to receive updates on the issues that most... This has remained relatively stable since 1 April 2020 by 4.0 per cent ) 1 April,... 15 would be rounded down to 20, 39 % fewer than in its. Campaign is a long-term programme and numbers continue to grow in the months... To 31 December 2020 a consultation response was published on 7 November 2016 and a of... 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Older than 21 and derived actionable recommendations Key Facts booklet announced new targets 2020... Currents newsletter to receive updates on the issues that matter most Forces, Gurkhas and other Ranks by Training.! And intake has decreased by 4.7 per cent from the UK and U.S. Armed Forces no... A more cost effective solution than Volunteer Reserves voluntarily accept an Annual Training commitment and are liable be. A revision to the number of interviews you conducted divided by the total number of hires wed. Fr20 ) programme aimed to increase the size of the UK and U.S. Armed Forces, responsiveness... Other Ranks by Training Status Lead, RAND Space Enterprise Initiative ; Assistant Policy ;. 2020 by 4.0 per cent from the UK Regular Forces breaching harmony ( April. From the 12 months to 31 December 2020 Forces are no longer.. On GOV.UK RAND Corporation calendar of upcoming MOD statistical releases can be found in table 5 below matter most personal! 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